Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.30
	3.2	1.31
	3.04	1.33	Watch
	3.45	1.28
	3.27	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.59)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
28.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Franco Roncadelli's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 259., and Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 135..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Barrios Vera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Barrios Vera is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Roncadelli has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Franco Roncadelli	Canceled ✺
22.09.26	Bruno Fernandez - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Franco Roncadelli - Markus Molder	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LL?W?
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Alex Barrena - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide