Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Franco Roncadelli		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.96	1.88
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.94	1.85
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.14)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
48.5%

Michele Ribecai
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Franco Roncadelli's performance.

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michele Ribecai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Franco Roncadelli - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ribecai will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 245. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 265.

Roncadelli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ribecai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ribecai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Andrej Nedic - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Peter Fajta - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Daniele Rapagnetta	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Niels McDonald	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW

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