Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.70	2.10	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
54.6%

Sebastian Gima
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Franco Roncadelli - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 2 - 40%). Gima (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 380. Gima is ranked ATP: 622.

Roncadelli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Mihai Razvan Marinescu	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Franco Roncadelli - Leonardo Cattaneo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW
- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Thomas Faurel - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Franco Roncadelli - Sebastian Gima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide