Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.8
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.86	1.85
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
49.4%

Brandon Nakashima
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frederico Ferreira Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Nakashima will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferreira Silva: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ferreira Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Miami
22.03.21	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
15.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
13.03.21	Jason Jung - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
07.03.21	Matthew Ebden - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Belgrade
18.04.21	Joao Sousa - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.21	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Brandon Nakashima - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
13.04.21	Brandon Nakashima - Elliot Benchetrit	2:1 ✺
ATP Cagliari
04.04.21	Matteo Viola - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

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