Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	1.98	1.85
	2.10	1.68	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.1)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
45.6%

Jay Clarke
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferreira Silva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 241. Clarke is ranked ATP: 194.

Ferreira Silva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Clarke is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Clarke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Clarke will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Jay Clarke - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Jay Clarke - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Jay Clarke - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Jay Clarke - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide