Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Jay Clarke		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.63	2.37
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
60%

Miguel Damas
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jay Clarke - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Damas will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 194. Damas is ranked ATP: 363.

Clarke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Clarke will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.24%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Jay Clarke - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Jay Clarke - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Miguel Damas	Picchione A. retired ✺
18.09.25	Miguel Damas - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Ryan Nijboer - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Miguel Damas - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Miguel Damas - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWLL

Jay Clarke - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide