Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Gabriel Diallo		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	1.98	1.9	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
47.8%

Alejandro Tabilo
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Gabriel Diallo - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Tabilo will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 118. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 23.

Diallo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tabilo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tabilo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Almaty
16.10.24	Borna Coric - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Almaty
16.10.24	Maximilian Marterer - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.24	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

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