Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.55
	2.63	1.51
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.11)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
37.1%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alejandro Tabilo - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rune will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 22. Rune is ranked ATP: 14.

Tabilo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rune is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tabilo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rune will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.24	Jozef Kovalik - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
12.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Alejandro Tabilo - David Goffin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Jack Draper - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW

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