Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty (Kazakhstan) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Christopher OConnell		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.91
	1.96	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.95
	2	1.85	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.96	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.08)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
48.8%

Gabriel Diallo
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OConnell: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

OConnell is ranked ATP: 71. Diallo is ranked ATP: 105.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Diallo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Taro Daniel - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Preview

Form

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