Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Referee: Kahn Y. (Usa)


	Gabriel Diallo		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.54
	1.57	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
62.3%

Joao Fonseca
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 148. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 214.

Diallo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Fonseca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diallo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Diallo to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diallo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
31.07.24	Liam Draxl - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Kaichi Uchida - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Joao Fonseca - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	2:0

Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide