Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Pennington R. (Usa)


	Liam Draxl		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.36)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
35.8%

Joao Fonseca
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Liam Draxl - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fonseca will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 271. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 214.

Two players are playing changeable.

Fonseca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonseca will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Liam Draxl - Richard Berankis	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Liam Draxl - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	Liam Draxl - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.24	Liam Draxl - Karl Poling	Draxl L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLW?
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Kaichi Uchida - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Joao Fonseca - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
18.06.24	Joao Fonseca - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Liam Draxl - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide