Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Joao Fonseca		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.4	2.8
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.39	3.05
	1.4	3.05
	1.36	3
	1.33	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.71)	3.06 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
69.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Moro Canas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fonseca is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Halle
18.06.24	Joao Fonseca - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
12.06.24	Damir Dzumhur - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
06.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
05.06.24	Joao Fonseca - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Marc Polmans - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
07.06.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Jurij Rodionov - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Felix Gill - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW

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