Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Michaels D. (Gbr)


	Gabriel Diallo		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.96
	1.87	1.95
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.53)	1.97 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
52.6%

Mattia Bellucci
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriel Diallo's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Bellucci will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diallo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Kei Nishikori - Gabriel Diallo	3:2 ✺
23.05.24	Gabriel Diallo - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Marco Trungelliti - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWW?
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Mattia Bellucci - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
23.05.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
22.05.24	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Matteo Martineau - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci	0:2

Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide