Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - Final

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Mattia Bellucci		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.00	1.77	Watch
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	1.81	1.99
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.90	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.19)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
47.8%

Lloyd Harris
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lloyd Harris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lloyd Harris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 91., and Harris is ranked ATP: 125..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Harris holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Harris in today's match, at odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bellucci has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. win ✺
30.09.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?WWW
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Lloyd Harris - Alex Bolt	Bolt A. Retired ✺
02.10.26	Lloyd Harris - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	2:0

Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide