Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Rask C. (Den)


	Gabriel Diallo		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.8
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.33	3.19	Watch
	1.38	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	2.83 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
67.1%

Shintaro Mochizuki
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Diallo's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriel Diallo - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 141. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 158.

Two players are playing changeable.

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Diallo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.24	Andrew Fenty - Shintaro Mochizuki	Fenty A. retired ✺
28.07.24	Elias Ymer - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLW?L

Gabriel Diallo - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide