Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Torella D. (Ita)


	Elias Ymer		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.85
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.94	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)	1.82 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
48.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Elias Ymer - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ymer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Elias Ymer - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Jack Draper - Elias Ymer	3:2 ✺
27.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Elias Ymer - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Elias Ymer - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Atlanta
21.07.24	Adam Walton - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Seoul
24.09.22	Elias Ymer - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2

Elias Ymer - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide