Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2 (Australia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Marc Polmans		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.56	Watch
	2.42	1.6
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.9)	1.58 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marc Polmans
40.6%

Shintaro Mochizuki
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Polmans's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Polmans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polmans will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Polmans is ranked ATP: 231. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 245.

Polmans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Polmans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Polmans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Marc Polmans - Shintaro Imai	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Marc Polmans - Zura Tkemaladze	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Omar Jasika - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Blake Ellis - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Moerani Bouzige - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hanyi Liu	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Linang Xiao - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2

Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide