Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 8 (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Gabriele Piraino		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.8
	1.89	1.88
	1.91	1.8
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Piraino
48.9%

Marcello Serafini
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriele Piraino's performance.

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcello Serafini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Piraino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcello Serafini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Piraino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Serafini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serafini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Piraino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Piraino
ITF Tournaments
04.10.23	Gabriele Piraino - Giannicola Misasi	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Lorenzo Rottoli - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
27.09.23	Gabriele Piraino - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
22.09.23	Daniel Michalski - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL
- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
04.10.23	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Stefano Reitano - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
25.09.23	Fabrizio Andaloro - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Henri Squire - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Aleksandr Braynin - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

Gabriele Piraino - Marcello Serafini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide