Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	00:05	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:05	HBO Max
Bulgaria	01:05	HBO Max
Croatia	00:05	HBO Max
Czech Republic	00:05	HBO Max
Denmark	00:05	HBO Max
Finland	01:05	HBO Max
France	00:05	HBO Max
Hungary	00:05	HBO Max
Moldova	01:05	HBO Max
Montenegro	00:05	HBO Max
Netherlands	00:05	HBO Max
North Macedonia	00:05	HBO Max
Norway	00:05	HBO Max
Poland	00:05	HBO Max
Romania	01:05	HBO Max
Serbia	00:05	HBO Max
Slovenia	00:05	HBO Max
Spain	00:05	HBO Max
Sweden	00:05	HBO Max


	Gael Monfils		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.92	1.96
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.92	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
50.5%

Roman Safiullin
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Monfils (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Safiullin (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 48. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 80.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Monfils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gael Monfils - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Gael Monfils - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Gael Monfils - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Gael Monfils - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Marton Fucsovics - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?LLLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Roman Safiullin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Roman Safiullin - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin