Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub
Spain	M+ Deportes 2, M+ Deportes 3


	Gael Monfils		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.24	3.88	Watch
	1.25	4.18
	1.08	8.15	Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)	4.82 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
79.9%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gael Monfils's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gael Monfils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gael Monfils - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 48. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 142.

Monfils is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barrios Vera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monfils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Monfils is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Gael Monfils - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Marton Fucsovics - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
01.07.25	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	3:2 ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWL?
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Arthur Gea - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

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