Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fairfield, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Aryan Shah		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.27	1.64
	2.20	1.60	Watch
			Watch
	2.49	1.5	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryan Shah
40.5%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryan Shah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Aryan Shah - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shah is ranked ATP: 394. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 743.

Shah has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hara Friend is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hara Friend is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Hara Friend will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryan Shah
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Aryan Shah - Billy Harris	Canceled ✺
18.08.25	Aryan Shah - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Aryan Shah - Stefan Latinovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LW?L?
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Cina - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLWW

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