Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Gastao Elias		Pedro Sousa

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.77	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.74	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
35%

Pedro Sousa
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pedro Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	0%	91.3%

Gastao Elias - Pedro Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Pedro Sousa will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sousa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
01.12.20	Gastao Elias - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
24.11.20	Thiago Monteiro - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.20	Gastao Elias - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Canceled ✺
31.10.20	Gastao Elias - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
30.10.20	Viktor Galovic - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WL?LW
- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
01.12.20	Maxime Hamou - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
24.11.20	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
20.11.20	Pedro Sousa - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
19.11.20	Pedro Sousa - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Pedro Sousa - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.10.20	Gastao Elias - Pedro Sousa	1:2
12.05.18	Gastao Elias - Pedro Sousa	Elias G. retired
21.04.16	Pedro Sousa - Gastao Elias	1:2

Gastao Elias - Pedro Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide