Match Info

Date: 13 January 2022, Thursday


	Gastao Elias		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.78	2.02
	1.74	1.98
	1.81	2.02
	1.72	2
	1.79	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.54)	2.01 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
53.3%

Timofey Skatov
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gastao Elias's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gastao Elias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Gastao Elias - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 5 - 7.1%). Skatov will win (votes: 65 - 92.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skatov: 86.9% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Elias is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Skatov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Australian Open
11.01.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
09.01.22	Ernests Gulbis - Gastao Elias	Gulbis E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.22	Salvatore Caruso - Gastao Elias	Elias G. walkover ✺
04.01.22	Gastao Elias - Blaz Rola	2:1 ✺
03.01.22	Gastao Elias - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W??WW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Australian Open
11.01.22	Dane Sweeny - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
09.01.22	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.22	Mitchell Krueger - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
02.01.22	Ryan Peniston - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
19.11.21	Thiago Monteiro - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLWL

Gastao Elias - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide