Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Gauthier Onclin		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	3.1	1.32
	3.61	1.3
	2.77	1.38	Watch
			Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.75)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
29.5%

Luca Van Assche
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gauthier Onclin - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 217. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 172.

Onclin has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Van Assche has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Gauthier Onclin - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Henri Squire - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Gauthier Onclin - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Luca Van Assche - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Billy Harris - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Francisco Comesana - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Luca Van Assche - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL

Gauthier Onclin - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide