Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2025, Tuesday


	Gauthier Onclin		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.13
	1.7	2.19
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	2.16 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
56.8%

Rei Sakamoto
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gauthier Onclin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gauthier Onclin - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 232. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 288.

Onclin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sakamoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Onclin could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Onclin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Oriol Roca Batalla	Canceled ✺
03.05.25	Zsombor Piros - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLL?L
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Rei Sakamoto - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Rei Sakamoto - Martin Klizan	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Jason Kubler - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.04.22	Rei Sakamoto - Gauthier Onclin	0:2

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