Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Gauthier Onclin		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.50	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.62
	1.45	2.57	Watch
	1.51	2.55
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
63.1%

Timofey Skatov
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 169. Skatov is ranked ATP: 149.

Onclin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Skatov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Onclin is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Onclin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	Canceled ✺
13.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 W?LW?
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Alex Barrena - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.05.25	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	0:2

Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide