Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Final

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Genaro Alberto Olivieri		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.25	1.27
	3.88	1.3
	3.53	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.41	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.76)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genaro Alberto Olivieri
26.8%

Henrique Rocha
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genaro Alberto Olivieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genaro Alberto Olivieri's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genaro Alberto Olivieri than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genaro Alberto Olivieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Henrique Rocha will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Olivieri is ranked ATP: 226. Rocha is ranked ATP: 169.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Rocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olivieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.19%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Thiago Monteiro - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Gustavo Heide	Heide G. retired ✺
26.02.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWW?L
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Henrique Rocha	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
10.03.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha	2:1
11.06.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha	0:2

Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide