Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Federico Cina

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.50	1.28
	3.50	1.29
	3.52	1.33
	3.19	1.33	Watch
	3.40	1.30
	3.35	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.25)	1.31 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
28%

Federico Cina
72%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Cadenasso's form might have worsened.

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Cina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Cadenasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Cina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Federico Cina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Federico Cina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 194. Cina is ranked ATP: 181.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Federico Cina - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Leandro Riedi	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Liam Broady - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LWLL
- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Federico Cina - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Zdenek Kolar - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Federico Cina - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Federico Cina - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Federico Cina - Jesper De Jong	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Federico Cina - Dino Prizmic	✺

Gianluca Cadenasso - Federico Cina