Match Info

Date: 9 March 2021, Tuesday


	Gianluca Mager		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.81	2
	1.84	1.9
	1.88	2.01
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.21)	1.96 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
51.4%

Federico Coria
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Mager's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Mager that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.1%	0%	43.9%

Gianluca Mager - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Mager will win (votes: 23 - 56.1%). Coria will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 40.9% – 71.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mager is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mager won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Buenos Aires
04.03.21	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Gianluca Mager - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
23.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.02.21	Gianluca Mager - Aslan Karatsev	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
01.02.21	Jordan Thompson - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Federico Coria
ATP Buenos Aires
02.03.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Cordoba
27.02.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Federico Coria - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
23.02.21	Dominik Koepfer - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.05.19	Federico Coria - Gianluca Mager	1:2

Gianluca Mager - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide