Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FRANCAVILLA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday


	Gianluca Mager		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.05	1.73
	2.24	1.68
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.62)	1.69 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
44.6%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	0%	92.7%

Gianluca Mager - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (51 of 55 users predict this - 92.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.87% – 99.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
08.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Gianluca Mager - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Gianluca Mager - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
09.05.23	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Flavio Cobolli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Martin Landaluce - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Gianluca Mager - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide