Match Info

Date: 20 July 2021, Tuesday


	Gianluca Mager		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.32	1.56
	2.4	1.63
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
40%

Pedro Martinez Portero
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Gianluca Mager - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mager will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Hamburg
13.07.21	Gianluca Mager - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Gianluca Mager - Nick Kyrgios	0:3 ✺
30.06.21	Juan Ignacio Londero - Gianluca Mager	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.21	Alex Molcan - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
17.06.21	Gianluca Mager - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Bastad
14.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
13.07.21	Dennis Novak - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.21	Christian Garin - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:1 ✺
01.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
28.06.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Stefano Travaglia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLWW

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