Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday


	Gianmarco Ferrari		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.75	1.43
	2.6	1.41
	2.85	1.43
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.76)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianmarco Ferrari
34.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianmarco Ferrari - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ferrari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianmarco Ferrari
ATP Challenger
26.07.22	Gianmarco Ferrari - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
24.07.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gianmarco Ferrari	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.22	Gianmarco Ferrari - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Gianmarco Ferrari - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
02.07.22	Mariano Kestelboim - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 W?LLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
25.07.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Kicker	Kicker N. retired ✺
12.07.22	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Nuno Borges - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.07.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0

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