Match Info

Date: 5 July 2022, Tuesday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.5
	1.46	2.76
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	2.6 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
64%

Jelle Sels
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Matteo Arnaldi - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sels will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Arnaldi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sels is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sels to win the game is with odds 2.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Nuno Borges - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
13.06.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
07.06.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
27.05.22	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
03.07.22	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	Deney Wassermann - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
01.07.22	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
30.06.22	Daniel De Jonge - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
28.06.22	Marvin Netuschil - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches