Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 20, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.52	2.4
	1.5	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	2.43 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
61.7%

Mert Alkaya
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilbert Soares Klier Junior's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilbert Soares Klier Junior than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilbert Soares Klier Junior that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Alkaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soares Klier Junior is ranked ATP: 877. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 767.

Soares Klier Junior has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Alkaya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Soares Klier Junior will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Lorenzo Rottoli - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Nazim Makhlouf	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Mert Alkaya - Anas Mazdrashki	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Ezekiel Clark - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Mert Alkaya - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

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