Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.66	1.5
	2.66	1.5
	2.62	1.44
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.64)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
34.9%

Flavio Cobolli
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cobolli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cobolli is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.23	Kyle Edmund - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
16.10.23	Alexander Blockx - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Flavio Cobolli - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Alex Molcan - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide