Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Gilles Simon		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	3.85	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.24
	4.31	1.26
	4	1.25
	4.6	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.66)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Simon
23.5%

Aslan Karatsev
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

73.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Gilles Simon - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Simon is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Simon
ATP Moscow
21.10.21	Gilles Simon - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
19.10.21	Laslo Djere - Gilles Simon	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.21	Gilles Simon - Mats Moraing	Moraing M. walkover ✺
29.09.21	Gilles Simon - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
21.09.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WW?LL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Moscow
21.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
11.10.21	Denis Shapovalov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Salvatore Caruso - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP San Diego
01.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Gilles Simon - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide