Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday


	Denis Shapovalov		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.7	2.08
	1.76	2.19
	1.73	2.1
	1.79	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	2.12 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
55.1%

Aslan Karatsev
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.7%	0%	46.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 36 - 53.7%). Karatsev will win (votes: 31 - 46.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 41.8% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shapovalov has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Denis Shapovalov - Vasek Pospisil	Pospisil V. retired ✺
ATP San Diego
01.10.21	Denis Shapovalov - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
30.09.21	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.21	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.21	Lloyd Harris - Denis Shapovalov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LWLL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Salvatore Caruso - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP San Diego
01.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
30.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
27.09.21	Aslan Karatsev - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
23.09.21	Aslan Karatsev - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL

Denis Shapovalov - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide