Match Info

Date: 3 November 2020, Tuesday


	Gilles Simon		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.5
	1.56	2.6
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	2.61 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Simon
63.7%

Tommy Paul
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Simon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Simon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommy Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	0%	29.3%

Gilles Simon - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Simon will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Paul will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simon: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Simon is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Simon
ATP Cologne 2
23.10.20	Gilles Simon - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Denis Shapovalov - Gilles Simon	1:2 ✺
19.10.20	Jordan Thompson - Gilles Simon	0:2 ✺
ATP Cologne
15.10.20	Gilles Simon - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
13.10.20	Gilles Simon - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Astana
30.10.20	Tommy Paul - John Millman	1:2 ✺
28.10.20	Tommy Paul - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
26.10.20	Tommy Paul - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
19.10.20	Tommy Paul - Feliciano Lopez	0:2 ✺
ATP Sardinia
15.10.20	Marco Cecchinato - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

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