Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Giovanni Fonio		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.51	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.26)	1.48 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
37.1%

Dalibor Svrcina
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Giovanni Fonio - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fonio is ranked ATP: 381. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 165.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Svrcina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Svrcina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fonio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Max Houkes - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Rudolf Molleker	Molleker R. retired ✺
24.02.25	Giovanni Fonio - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWL?L
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Dalibor Svrcina	Svrcina D. retired ✺
18.03.25	Andrej Martin - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Brandon Holt - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Dalibor Svrcina	Sultanov K. retired ✺
21.02.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.09.22	Giovanni Fonio - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0

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