Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Giovanni Fonio		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.32)	2.48 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
62.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Giustino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonio is ranked ATP: 370. Giustino is ranked ATP: 264.

Recent matches Fonio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fonio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fonio is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fonio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Max Houkes - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Rudolf Molleker	Molleker R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWL?
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Ignacio Parisca - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.02.24	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1
29.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Giovanni Fonio	2:0
13.07.21	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0
Exhibition Italian Championship Men
26.06.20	Lorenzo Giustino - Giovanni Fonio	2:0

Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide