Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.19
	1.76	2.19
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.7	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
55.2%

Hugo Gaston
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Mpetshi Perricard is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Mpetshi Perricard G. walkover ✺
21.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
17.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Constant Lestienne - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 ?WLWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Lyon
22.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
21.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Pedro Cachin	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide