Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Moore S. (Usa)


	Juncheng Shang		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.69	2.26
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.42)	2.16 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
56.5%

Hugo Gaston
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juncheng Shang's form might have worsened.

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Juncheng Shang - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Shang is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shang will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
07.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Juncheng Shang - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide