Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday


	Giovanni Oradini		Gastao Elias

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.51	1.28
	3.51	1.29
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.58	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.68)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
27%

Gastao Elias
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Oradini's form might have worsened.

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gastao Elias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gastao Elias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Giovanni Oradini - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: Gastao Elias will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Elias is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elias is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Elias to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
22.06.24	Giovanni Oradini - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
21.06.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Stefano DAgostino - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Pierluigi Basile - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Enrique Bogo - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Gastao Elias - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Gastao Elias - Alexander Blus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

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