Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Giovanni Oradini		Luca Potenza

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.9
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.83)	1.83 (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
49.2%

Luca Potenza
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Giovanni Oradini - Luca Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 583. Potenza is ranked ATP: 364.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Oradini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oradini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Luca Potenza - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Alexey Shtengelov - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLW?
- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Luca Potenza - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Edas Butvilas - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Darwin Blanch - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Luca Potenza - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.05.23	Luca Potenza - Giovanni Oradini	2:1

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