Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Luca Potenza		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.17	1.67
	1.87	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
45.9%

Maks Kasnikowski
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 399. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 547.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kasnikowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Luca Potenza - Anas Mazdrashki	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Titouan Droguet - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Michael Geerts - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Vadym Ursu - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Luca Potenza - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Tom Zeuch - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Jakub Hrynkiewicz - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWWL

Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide