Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday


	Giulio Perego		Arvid Nordquist

	1	2
	3.05	1.33
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.54)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Perego
30.7%

Arvid Nordquist
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Perego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giulio Perego's form might have worsened.

Arvid Nordquist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arvid Nordquist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Perego than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giulio Perego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arvid Nordquist than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arvid Nordquist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giulio Perego - Arvid Nordquist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perego is ranked ATP: 883. Nordquist is ranked ATP: 849.

Perego has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nordquist has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nordquist could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Perego
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Filip Peliwo - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Giulio Perego - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Giulio Perego - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	James Beaven - Giulio Perego	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Orel Kimhi - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Arvid Nordquist
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Arvid Nordquist	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Arvid Nordquist - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Markus Molder - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Romain Andres - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Stian Klaassen - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?LWWW

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