Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roehampton 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucas Poullain		Arvid Nordquist

	1	2
	1.11	5.25
	1.13	5.10
	1.12	5.37	Watch
	1.11	5.50	Watch
	1.11	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.26)	5.36 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
82.8%

Arvid Nordquist
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Poullain's performance.

Arvid Nordquist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arvid Nordquist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lucas Poullain - Arvid Nordquist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 369. Nordquist is ranked ATP: 849.

Poullain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nordquist's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nordquist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poullain is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 73.71%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Oliver Tarvet - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Lui Maxted - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Michael Geerts - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Viktor Durasovic - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- Arvid Nordquist
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Arvid Nordquist - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Markus Molder - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Romain Andres - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Stian Klaassen - Arvid Nordquist	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Valentin Lapalu - Arvid Nordquist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Lucas Poullain - Arvid Nordquist

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain - Arvid Nordquist Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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