Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 May 2023, Friday


	Giulio Zeppieri		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.77	2.04	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.92	1.84	Watch
	1.8	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.03)	1.99 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
52.6%

Ben Shelton
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Shelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Giulio Zeppieri - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Shelton will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zeppieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Mattia Bellucci - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Fabian Marozsan - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Ben Shelton - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

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