Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CAGLIARI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.8	1.43	Watch
	2.83	1.41
	2.62	1.44
	2.96	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.69)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
33.1%

Giulio Zeppieri
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Mattia Bellucci - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zeppieri is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zeppieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zeppieri will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Giovanni Fonio - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Dino Prizmic - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Marton Fucsovics - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.07.19	Mattia Bellucci - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2

Mattia Bellucci - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide