Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.31	1.64
	2.38	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
41.8%

Giulio Zeppieri
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalibor Svrcina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giulio Zeppieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 91. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 163.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zeppieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svrcina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Matteo Berrettini - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2
ATP Montpellier
29.01.24	Giulio Zeppieri - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2

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